More CRE Debt Is Maturing This Year Than Estimated Earlier
Extensions and modifications will kick up that number to $929 billion from $659 billion.
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Extensions and modifications will kick up that number to $929 billion from $659 billion.
Anticipating the fallout from potentially billions of dollars in distressed loans, lenders must be on high alert. Drawing from lessons learned in the last two historical downturns, where we witnessed unprepared lenders face severe consequences, it is imperative for lenders and financial institutions to act now.
The net percent of respondents that are tightening standards for CRE loans is a little shy of the 2020 pandemic peak and still near the 2009 apex of the Global Financial Crisis. Also, the net percent of domestic respondents reporting stronger demand for CRE loans is even worse than the depths after the GFC.
Unsurprising, at least, to the thousands who descended on Miami this week for the investor conferences and meetings collectively termed “Hedge Fund Week,” who put commercial real estate as perhaps the most scarlet of red flags for the year ahead.
Markets are recognizing how precarious conditions for banks can be.
Letter exchanges with a four institutions could put additional chill in the air for CRE lending.
But potential distress is far worse — as much as $234.6 billion.
Excess inventory, maturing loans, tight spreads, and a lack of 1031 buyers put the pressure on.
As of Friday, the 10-year was still 130 basis points behind the three-month but only 24 behind the 2-year.
When it comes down to actual transactions, interest rate levels are still limiting real estate deals.
Broker/President Ronald W. Osborne represents both buyers and sellers of commercial properties of all asset classes and types, focusing primarily on privately owned properties in South Florida, ranging in value from $1 to $10 million.
Sperry – RJ Realty
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954.381.0412
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